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Red42
461211.6
120925.5
317213.8
Blue62
452254.0
495923.8
56113.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34830501001502004262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1209
#20
25.50.0
27.227.2
Auto0.7
Teleop24.8
End0.0
blue by 28.6
54.00.8
52.952.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop54.1
End0.0
Second
3172
#38
13.80.1
8.58.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 10.0
23.80.8
21.420.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
4612
#48
11.60.1
7.37.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0
red by 8.3
5611
#57
3.41.4
4.22.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.4
End0.0