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Red58
246114.8
379814.0
237317.5
Blue94
346524.3
239528.7
345715.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245301001502005894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2373
#17
17.52.4
14.116.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 11.2
2395
#16
28.72.2
24.526.7
Auto0.3
Teleop28.4
End0.0
Second
2461
#35
14.82.4
10.512.9
Auto0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 9.5
3465
#11
24.33.6
15.419.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
3798
#43
14.02.4
5.17.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 1.7
3457
#21
15.63.6
10.514.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0