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Red132
180673.4
400514.8
246114.8
Blue30
120925.5
235922.8
144818.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions906005010015020013230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.42.2
62.865.0
Auto0.5
Teleop72.9
End0.0
red by 48.0
1209
#20
25.51.8
27.225.3
Auto0.7
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Second
2461
#35
14.83.6
12.916.4
Auto0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 8.0
2359
#10
22.81.8
19.818.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Third
4005
#30
14.83.6
13.216.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0
blue by 3.3
1448
#18
18.13.1
19.716.6
Auto0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0