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Red60
239528.7
234122.9
235213.2
Blue60
276516.0
239815.2
23828.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633002040801001201406060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2395
#16
28.70.0
26.726.7
Auto0.3
Teleop28.4
End0.0
red by 12.7
2765
#26
16.02.0
15.017.0
Auto0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Second
2341
#23
22.90.0
18.218.2
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 7.8
2398
#39
15.22.0
13.115.1
Auto0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
2352
#25
13.20.0
15.215.2
Auto0.0
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 5.1
2382
#55
8.12.0
8.010.0
Auto0.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0