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Red21
238812.5
29865.5
562111.7
Blue52
93221.4
316314.4
493315.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284101001502002503002152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2388
#42
12.50.8
11.610.8
Auto0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 8.8
932
#28
21.40.7
15.716.4
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
5621
#40
11.74.0
11.77.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 3.7
4933
#27
15.41.0
14.815.7
Auto0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
2986
#61
5.50.8
10.69.8
Auto0.1
Teleop5.4
End0.0
blue by 8.9
3163
#41
14.41.0
10.011.0
Auto0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0