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Red93
120925.5
346524.3
175013.7
Blue76
349815.6
316010.2
93221.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613202040801001201401609376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1209
#20
25.51.7
25.327.0
Auto0.7
Teleop24.8
End0.0
red by 4.1
932
#28
21.41.9
16.318.2
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
3465
#11
24.32.5
21.924.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 8.7
3498
#24
15.63.0
13.216.1
Auto0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
1750
#50
13.72.5
11.313.8
Auto0.0
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 3.5
3160
#56
10.21.9
8.310.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0