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Red31
276516.0
359330.8
345715.6
Blue61
238812.5
156120.3
500619.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694201001503161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.82.2
31.629.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.8
End0.0
red by 10.5
1561
#13
20.30.9
19.820.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Second
2765
#26
16.02.2
18.216.0
Auto0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 3.3
5006
#36
19.30.7
18.419.0
Auto0.2
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
3457
#21
15.62.2
17.815.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 3.1
2388
#42
12.50.9
9.810.7
Auto0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0