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Red85
234122.9
366018.0
279518.1
Blue68
55788.8
359330.8
238812.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524402060801001208568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#23
22.92.3
21.123.4
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
blue by 7.8
30.81.8
29.431.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Second
2795
#31
18.12.2
15.918.1
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 5.5
2388
#42
12.51.8
10.712.5
Auto0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
3660
#19
18.02.3
15.718.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 9.2
5578
#52
8.82.0
6.88.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.8
End0.0