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Red20
467857.7
490215.8
35436.7
Blue34
567217.5
519112.6
495112.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83200501001502002034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.72.8
48.345.5
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End0.0
red by 40.2
5672
#14
17.50.7
10.110.9
Auto0.4
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Second
4902
#23
15.83.4
17.013.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 3.2
5191
#34
12.60.7
13.214.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
3543
#33
6.74.7
10.86.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 5.6
4951
#32
12.30.5
7.78.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.9
End0.0