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Red85
495112.3
400151.0
496815.3
Blue69
201322.0
415215.5
260926.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5551203040607080908569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.01.4
39.240.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 24.9
2609
#22
26.11.1
23.224.2
Auto0.6
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Second
4968
#29
15.32.4
10.412.8
Auto0.8
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 6.6
2013
#21
22.01.1
24.825.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
4951
#32
12.31.4
6.88.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 3.2
4152
#28
15.51.8
5.97.7
Auto0.9
Teleop14.6
End0.0