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Red80
133421.3
415215.5
447627.2
Blue84
406927.2
218519.1
490215.8
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5045204060801008084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#12
27.21.4
23.925.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.4
End0.0
blue by 0.1
4069
#15
27.21.8
19.621.4
Auto1.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
1334
#13
21.31.4
19.921.3
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 2.2
2185
#17
19.11.8
14.416.2
Auto0.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
4152
#28
15.52.4
7.710.1
Auto0.9
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 0.2
4902
#23
15.81.8
14.015.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0