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Red31
519112.6
515715.3
406927.2
Blue93
503519.4
400151.0
78123.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38700501001502003193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4069
#15
27.20.4
19.418.9
Auto1.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
blue by 23.8
51.01.6
34.736.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
5157
#26
15.30.6
11.010.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 8.0
781
#19
23.31.4
22.323.7
Auto0.3
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
5191
#34
12.60.6
13.813.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 6.8
5035
#20
19.42.1
10.312.4
Auto0.5
Teleop18.9
End0.0