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Red112
452532.6
131055.0
54097.0
Blue72
496815.3
447627.2
78123.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6656020408010012011272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.02.5
38.140.7
Auto7.5
Teleop47.5
End0.0
red by 27.8
4476
#12
27.20.6
25.325.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
4525
#10
32.64.2
22.626.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop33.3
End0.0
red by 9.3
781
#19
23.30.6
23.123.7
Auto0.3
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
5409
#36
7.02.5
6.59.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 8.4
4968
#29
15.31.0
11.012.1
Auto0.8
Teleop14.5
End0.0