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Red93
519112.6
77232.2
467857.7
Blue114
400151.0
130537.9
260926.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions799505015020025030093114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.4
51.952.3
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End0.0
red by 6.6
51.00.9
42.143.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
772
#11
32.20.4
17.517.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 5.8
37.90.9
30.831.7
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
Third
5191
#34
12.60.7
15.115.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 13.5
2609
#22
26.10.9
23.124.0
Auto0.6
Teleop25.5
End0.0