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Qual 422015 North Bay Regional
Red146
130537.9
467857.7
567217.5
Blue118
491747.0
406927.2
133421.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions968150150146118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#1
57.72.5
52.3→54.8
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End0.0
red by 10.7
4917
#4
47.01.6
44.1→45.6
Auto0.8
Teleop46.2
End0.0
Second
1305
#6
37.92.5
31.7→34.2
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 10.7
4069
#15
27.21.6
22.6→24.2
Auto1.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Third
5672
#14
17.54.1
12.7→16.8
Auto0.4
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 3.8
1334
#13
21.31.6
19.6→21.2
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0