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Red4
516410.3
357110.0
133421.3
Blue57
452532.6
35436.7
447627.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4038102030506070457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1334
#13
21.31.6
17.616.0
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 11.4
4525
#10
32.61.4
13.114.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Second
5164
#24
10.32.6
7.95.3
Auto0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 16.9
4476
#12
27.21.1
17.218.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Third
3571
#31
10.02.6
15.713.1
Auto0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 3.3
3543
#33
6.71.4
9.410.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.7
End0.0