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Red100
495112.3
503519.4
130537.9
Blue70
54097.0
516410.3
238642.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575220408010010070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.92.1
35.737.8
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
blue by 4.3
42.20.8
39.240.0
Auto0.6
Teleop41.6
End0.0
Second
5035
#20
19.42.5
16.919.4
Auto0.5
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 9.1
5164
#24
10.30.9
9.410.3
Auto0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Third
4951
#32
12.32.1
5.98.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 5.4
5409
#36
7.00.8
6.27.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0