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Red50
260926.1
371017.7
218519.1
Blue17
53247.0
497617.9
503519.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63280501001505017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#22
26.10.5
25.124.5
Auto0.6
Teleop25.5
End0.0
red by 6.7
5035
#20
19.41.4
12.411.0
Auto0.5
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
2185
#17
19.10.5
13.312.7
Auto0.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 1.1
4976
#30
17.91.4
14.412.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
3710
#27
17.70.5
21.520.9
Auto0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 10.7
5324
#35
7.01.4
7.66.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop7.3
End0.0