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Red148
61038.3
111485.0
154714.8
Blue84
400134.7
18835.9
299410.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1456505010020025030014884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.00.2
84.785.0
Auto7.1
Teleop77.9
End0.0
red by 49.1
188
#2
35.90.1
35.535.5
Auto0.3
Teleop35.6
End0.0
Second
610
#6
38.30.2
38.138.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 3.6
34.70.1
34.334.4
Auto1.3
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
1547
#30
14.80.2
14.614.8
Auto0.8
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 4.2
2994
#42
10.60.1
10.210.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0