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Red77
400134.7
18835.9
299410.6
Blue31
406919.4
568017.4
577620.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725601001502007731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#2
35.90.1
33.033.1
Auto0.3
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 15.1
5776
#13
20.70.6
21.921.3
Auto0.3
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Second
34.70.1
31.831.9
Auto1.3
Teleop33.4
End0.0
red by 15.3
4069
#16
19.40.6
20.519.9
Auto1.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
2994
#42
10.60.1
7.77.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 6.8
5680
#11
17.40.6
18.618.0
Auto0.2
Teleop17.3
End0.0