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Red63
394913.5
400134.7
336029.7
Blue122
558015.9
406919.4
111485.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406605010015020063122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.71.5
16.518.0
Auto1.3
Teleop33.4
End0.0
blue by 50.3
85.04.8
35.740.5
Auto7.1
Teleop77.9
End0.0
Second
3360
#10
29.71.5
18.019.4
Auto2.1
Teleop27.6
End0.0
red by 10.3
4069
#16
19.44.8
20.325.1
Auto1.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
3949
#19
13.51.5
11.012.5
Auto1.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5580
#14
15.92.6
15.913.3
Auto-0.8
Teleop16.7
End0.0