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Red4
477713.3
507611.7
558015.9
Blue50
503213.6
18835.9
55985.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3138050100150200450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5580
#14
15.92.4
13.310.9
Auto-0.8
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 20.0
188
#2
35.91.0
22.523.5
Auto0.3
Teleop35.6
End0.0
Second
4777
#18
13.32.4
10.58.1
Auto-1.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 0.3
5032
#28
13.61.0
8.39.2
Auto0.7
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
5076
#24
11.72.4
9.36.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 6.0
5598
#38
5.71.0
7.88.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop6.2
End0.0