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Red28
336029.7
577620.7
299410.6
Blue14
26348.4
90713.5
563111.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49280204060801001201401602814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#10
29.71.7
22.621.0
Auto2.1
Teleop27.6
End0.0
red by 16.1
907
#31
13.51.5
17.115.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Second
5776
#13
20.71.7
12.310.6
Auto0.3
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 9.1
5631
#25
11.61.5
8.36.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
2994
#42
10.61.7
13.011.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 2.2
2634
#40
8.41.5
7.05.5
Auto0.7
Teleop7.8
End0.0