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Red0
86511.4
558110.1
503213.6
Blue83
128513.8
111485.0
394913.5
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1682050100150200250083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5032
#28
13.60.8
9.28.4
Auto0.7
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 71.4
85.02.2
47.449.6
Auto7.1
Teleop77.9
End0.0
Second
865
#37
11.40.8
8.57.7
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 2.4
1285
#23
13.82.2
16.919.0
Auto0.4
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
5581
#36
10.10.8
9.68.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 3.4
3949
#19
13.52.2
10.612.8
Auto1.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0