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Red0
507611.7
509211.3
503213.6
Blue30
49397.6
124115.4
7715.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28380206080100120140160030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5032
#28
13.61.5
9.68.1
Auto0.7
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 1.8
1241
#33
15.40.7
23.723.1
Auto0.4
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
5076
#24
11.71.5
10.28.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 4.1
4939
#29
7.60.7
7.16.4
Auto-0.9
Teleop8.5
End0.0
Third
5092
#22
11.31.5
10.69.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 6.1
771
#39
5.10.7
7.36.7
Auto0.4
Teleop4.7
End0.0