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Red20
563111.6
55197.2
299410.6
Blue35
400134.7
55985.7
86511.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284302060801001201401602035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5631
#25
11.61.0
6.85.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 23.1
34.70.6
25.825.2
Auto1.3
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Second
2994
#42
10.61.0
9.88.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 0.8
865
#37
11.40.6
9.38.7
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
5519
#26
7.21.0
15.314.3
Auto-1.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0
red by 1.5
5598
#38
5.70.6
7.36.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop6.2
End0.0