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Red41
85427.8
503213.6
7715.1
Blue78
299410.6
61038.3
49518.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354901001504178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#5
27.80.7
20.821.5
Auto1.7
Teleop26.1
End0.0
blue by 10.5
610
#6
38.32.3
33.936.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
5032
#28
13.60.7
10.010.7
Auto0.7
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 3.0
2994
#42
10.62.3
6.68.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Third
771
#39
5.10.7
7.58.1
Auto0.4
Teleop4.7
End0.0
blue by 3.7
4951
#34
8.82.3
8.210.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop9.4
End0.0