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Red8
91914.8
124115.4
509211.3
Blue77
85427.8
494635.4
260927.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45400206080100120140877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#33
15.42.6
25.823.1
Auto0.4
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 20.0
35.42.9
20.723.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.6
End0.0
Second
919
#17
14.82.6
11.18.4
Auto-0.9
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 13.1
854
#5
27.82.9
8.511.4
Auto1.7
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Third
5092
#22
11.32.6
8.96.3
Auto-0.8
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 15.8
27.12.9
13.316.2
Auto1.8
Teleop25.3
End0.0