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Red51
37058.5
558015.9
400134.7
Blue39
86511.4
90713.5
124115.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464102060801001205139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.3
26.927.2
Auto1.3
Teleop33.4
End0.0
red by 19.3
1241
#33
15.40.1
16.116.2
Auto0.4
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
5580
#14
15.90.3
15.115.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 2.3
907
#31
13.50.1
14.414.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Third
3705
#27
8.50.3
4.64.9
Auto-0.8
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 2.9
865
#37
11.40.1
13.113.2
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0