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Red50
434322.0
55985.7
299410.6
Blue19
74610.4
49397.6
406919.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304202060801001201405019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#15
22.01.1
21.722.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 2.6
4069
#16
19.41.5
22.020.5
Auto1.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Second
2994
#42
10.61.1
6.67.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 0.2
746
#32
10.41.5
10.38.8
Auto1.3
Teleop9.1
End0.0
Third
5598
#38
5.71.1
4.55.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop6.2
End0.0
blue by 1.9
4939
#29
7.61.5
9.17.6
Auto-0.9
Teleop8.5
End0.0