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Red119
400134.7
18835.9
299410.6
Blue37
124115.4
85427.8
477713.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7650010015020011937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#2
35.90.9
33.634.6
Auto0.3
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 8.1
854
#5
27.80.4
27.727.3
Auto1.7
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
34.70.9
32.533.4
Auto1.3
Teleop33.4
End0.0
red by 19.3
1241
#33
15.40.4
15.314.9
Auto0.4
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
2994
#42
10.60.9
8.49.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 2.7
4777
#18
13.30.4
13.212.8
Auto-1.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0