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Red162
61038.3
111485.0
154714.8
Blue85
124115.4
85427.8
477713.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1513605010020025030016285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.00.5
85.185.6
Auto7.1
Teleop77.9
End0.0
red by 57.2
854
#5
27.80.6
27.327.9
Auto1.7
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
610
#6
38.30.5
38.438.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 22.9
1241
#33
15.40.6
14.915.5
Auto0.4
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
1547
#30
14.80.5
14.915.4
Auto0.8
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 1.5
4777
#18
13.30.6
12.813.4
Auto-1.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0