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Red144
124127.5
132540.2
130520.8
Blue28
37818.4
181518.8
57816.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6950010015014428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.21.3
34.135.3
Auto1.2
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 21.4
1815
#10
18.80.4
19.218.8
Auto0.8
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Second
27.51.3
21.422.6
Auto0.6
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 9.1
378
#11
18.40.4
18.818.4
Auto0.8
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
1305
#31
20.81.5
13.414.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 4.1
578
#23
16.70.4
17.216.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0