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Red17
447617.2
56528.7
503610.0
Blue16
398612.7
471812.8
505113.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33300204060801001716

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#18
17.21.4
17.916.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 3.5
5051
#20
13.70.8
11.911.1
Auto1.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Second
5036
#21
10.01.4
7.35.9
Auto0.7
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 2.8
4718
#28
12.80.8
8.17.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
5652
#45
8.71.5
8.77.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 4.1
3986
#32
12.70.8
11.310.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.1
End0.0