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Red4
78122.3
478311.0
353012.4
Blue26
399021.9
23409.6
503610.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3438050100150426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#8Sur
22.30.1
20.019.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 0.4
3990
#7Sur
21.90.4
20.721.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
3530
#33
12.40.1
7.37.2
Auto0.9
Teleop11.5
End0.0
red by 2.4
5036
#21
10.00.4
5.66.0
Auto0.7
Teleop9.3
End0.0
Third
4783
#38
11.00.1
8.18.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.2
End0.0
red by 1.4
2340
#35
9.60.4
12.412.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0