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Red64
48258.2
447617.2
8869.7
Blue63
56528.7
222833.0
124127.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423402060801006463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#18
17.21.8
15.817.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 15.8
33.02.2
14.216.3
Auto0.9
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Second
886
#26
9.71.1
11.612.7
Auto0.3
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 17.8
27.51.3
15.216.5
Auto0.6
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Third
4825
#43
8.21.8
14.616.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.3
End0.0
blue by 0.5
5652
#45
8.72.2
7.59.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0