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Red26
542815.3
471812.8
447617.2
Blue15
425213.7
355011.7
57816.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343301020405060702615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#18
17.20.7
17.717.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 0.5
578
#23
16.71.6
11.49.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Second
5428
#17
15.30.7
9.48.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 1.6
4252
#37
13.71.6
11.19.5
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
4718
#28
12.80.7
7.36.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 1.2
3550
#41
11.71.6
12.010.4
Auto0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0