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Red28
559613.4
317314.9
8869.7
Blue33
470411.3
471812.8
124616.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35250204060801002833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#27
14.90.6
11.210.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 1.8
16.70.5
8.69.1
Auto1.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Second
5596
#22
13.40.6
12.111.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 0.6
4718
#28
12.80.5
9.09.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
886
#26
9.70.3
11.511.1
Auto0.3
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 1.6
4704
#34
11.30.5
9.910.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0