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Red202
285255.0
205680.5
124616.7
Blue78
78122.3
124127.5
507612.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1193405010015020025030020278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.57.7
63.371.0
Auto10.3
Teleop70.2
End0.0
red by 53.0
27.51.5
17.919.3
Auto0.6
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Second
55.07.7
37.845.4
Auto2.1
Teleop52.9
End0.0
red by 32.6
781
#8
22.32.4
22.124.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
16.77.7
9.116.7
Auto1.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 4.3
5076
#40
12.41.5
8.810.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0