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Red30
23409.6
338713.9
471812.8
Blue11
398812.1
48258.2
21859.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31330204060801001203011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3387
#19
13.90.2
14.414.2
Auto0.8
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 1.8
3988
#15
12.11.8
15.914.1
Auto0.8
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Second
4718
#28
12.80.2
9.18.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 3.2
2185
#36
9.61.8
8.16.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Third
2340
#35
9.60.2
9.29.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0
red by 1.4
4825
#43
8.21.8
10.28.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.3
End0.0