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Red28
311719.0
293515.4
74614.9
Blue33
505113.7
124616.7
425213.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414201001502002503003502833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3117
#24
19.01.2
15.914.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 2.3
16.70.8
16.715.9
Auto1.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Second
15.41.2
13.612.4
Auto0.0
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 1.7
4252
#37
13.70.8
13.512.7
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
746
#14
14.90.7
13.512.7
Auto0.7
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 1.3
5051
#20
13.70.8
13.112.3
Auto1.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0