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Red64
37818.4
201321.3
130520.8
Blue12
503610.0
42483.8
219813.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49280204060801001206412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#12
21.31.2
19.620.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 8.1
2198
#25
13.21.5
15.614.1
Auto1.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Second
1305
#31
20.81.2
12.213.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 10.8
5036
#21
10.01.5
11.19.6
Auto0.7
Teleop9.3
End0.0
Third
378
#11
18.41.2
15.917.1
Auto0.8
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 14.6
4248
#46
3.81.5
5.84.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.1
End0.0