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Red228
2056102.5
1114108.8
571913.8
Blue126
368356.4
540656.0
133417.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234108050150200250300350228126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.80.1
108.1108.2
Auto10.0
Teleop98.9
End0.0
red by 52.5
56.40.0
56.856.8
Auto0.5
Teleop55.8
End0.0
Second
102.50.1
101.8101.9
Auto8.7
Teleop93.8
End0.0
red by 46.6
56.00.0
56.456.4
Auto0.1
Teleop55.9
End0.0
Third
5719
#29
13.80.1
13.013.1
Auto0.7
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 3.8
1334
#28
17.60.0
18.018.0
Auto0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0