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Qual 132015 Waterloo Regional
Red122
430827.4
293521.1
167645.6
Blue106
408316.2
461719.1
540656.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59490100150200122106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#4
45.63.1
27.0→30.1
Auto0.3
Teleop45.3
End0.0
blue by 10.3
5406
#3
56.04.5
21.2→25.7
Auto0.1
Teleop55.9
End0.0
Second
4308
#12
27.45.2
16.1→21.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
red by 8.3
4617
#15
19.14.5
21.3→25.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Third
2935
#14
21.13.1
16.3→19.4
Auto0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 4.9
4083
#24
16.23.0
9.5→12.5
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0