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Red126
467845.3
540656.0
461829.5
Blue180
368356.4
430827.4
128529.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1119950150200126180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.01.0
48.048.9
Auto0.1
Teleop55.9
End0.0
blue by 0.4
56.45.5
46.552.0
Auto0.5
Teleop55.8
End0.0
Second
45.31.0
42.143.0
Auto10.8
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 16.3
29.03.8
28.131.9
Auto0.2
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Third
4618
#10
29.51.0
22.623.6
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 2.1
4308
#12
27.45.5
29.434.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0