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Red52
491739.6
493917.4
430827.4
Blue14
130527.3
408316.2
316123.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335001001502005214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.61.8
18.720.5
Auto0.7
Teleop38.9
End0.0
red by 12.3
1305
#11
27.31.8
20.819.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Second
4308
#12
27.41.8
10.212.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
red by 4.0
3161
#17
23.42.4
16.714.3
Auto2.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
4939
#23
17.41.3
7.68.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 1.1
4083
#24
16.21.9
11.39.4
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0