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Red34
491739.6
124128.0
293521.1
Blue23
494310.4
133417.6
24421.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions964301502003423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.62.2
41.138.9
Auto0.7
Teleop38.9
End0.0
red by 18.4
244
#13
21.21.5
20.719.2
Auto0.5
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Second
1241
#19
28.02.0
27.025.0
Auto0.5
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 10.4
1334
#28
17.61.7
18.917.3
Auto0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
2935
#14
21.12.0
23.221.2
Auto0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 10.7
4943
#27
10.41.7
13.411.7
Auto0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0