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Red251
2056105.3
1114117.8
490318.4
Blue178
368368.8
132555.4
21619.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25311650150200300350251178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.80.2
117.6117.8
Auto10.1
Teleop107.7
End0.0
red by 49.0
68.80.6
68.068.6
Auto2.9
Teleop65.9
End0.0
Second
105.30.2
105.1105.3
Auto10.8
Teleop94.4
End0.0
red by 49.9
55.40.6
54.655.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Third
4903
#31
18.40.2
18.218.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 1.3
216
#22
19.70.6
19.019.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0