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Red113
86527.5
77250.0
471619.7
Blue103
461830.8
494019.8
499230.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9674050150200113103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#6
50.00.3
49.649.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop50.6
End0.0
red by 19.1
4618
#28
30.80.4
30.430.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
865
#10
27.50.3
27.127.4
Auto0.8
Teleop26.7
End0.0
blue by 3.1
4992
#21
30.60.4
30.230.6
Auto0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Third
4716
#23
19.70.3
19.319.6
Auto0.5
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Level
19.80.4
19.319.7
Auto2.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0