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Red156
1114117.8
502429.6
493615.0
Blue56
540810.7
497628.9
359821.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1423405010020025015656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.81.3
105.8107.1
Auto10.1
Teleop107.7
End0.0
red by 88.9
28.90.2
19.319.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
5024
#16
29.62.1
12.014.1
Auto0.2
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 7.8
3598
#35
21.80.2
25.425.6
Auto0.3
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
4936
#20
15.02.1
12.614.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 4.3
5408
#48
10.70.3
7.78.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0